Demographic analysis of the behavior of the population of Mato Grosso since the 1970s
An increase of 1% in the Working-Age Population (WAP) is associated with a 30.60% increase in Total Tillage. This indirectly leads to an estimated 26.01% increase in Production. Regions that passed through the institutional changes experience more proportional increases in their WAP. This reflects the concept of a demographic bonus, a period where a large WAP can fuel economic growth, and aligns with the second stylized fact from Jones and Romer (2010, pp. 233-237), which posits an acceleration in economic and population growth.
Graph 20 – WAP logarithmical fitted lines in the Immediate Regions of Mato Grosso but Cuiabá, from 1970 to the 2022 Census
The interactive plot is shown at: https://davescordova.github.io/DIFERENCES-IN-ECONOMIC-GROWTH-PATH-/graph_20.html.
Sorriso has ascended remarkably, reaching the third position in the 2022 Census, having surpassed Tangará da Serra. Similarly, Água Boa demonstrates significant upward mobility, improving its rank by three regions in the 2022 Census alone. In stark contrast, regions lacking these beneficial institutional shifts show relative decline. Cáceres has been overtaken by nine regions since the 1970 Census, a similar pattern seen with Mirassol D’Oeste. Jaciara marks a significant drop from its seventh position in the 1970 Census to the lowest level in the 2022 Census. Interestingly, Juara, which was at the very last position in the 1970 Census, has managed to improve to the tenth position.
Table 22 - The time at which cities come to an end of the population (Modified to exclude cities due to Covid-19 imbalance)
| City | Immediate Region | Intermediary Region | Year of perishing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Acorizal | Cuiabá | Cuiabá | 2109 |
| Alto Paraguai | Diamantino | Cuiabá | 2174 |
| Araguainha | Rondonópolis | Rondonópolis | 2124 |
| Barão de Melgaço | Cuiabá | Cuiabá | 2208 |
| Colniza | Juína | Sinop | 2531 |
| Dom Aquino | Jaciara | Rondonópolis | 2097 |
| Figueirópolis D'Oeste | Mirassol D'oeste | Cáceres | 2082 |
| Guiratinga | Rondonópolis | Rondonópolis | 2240 |
| Jauru | Mirassol D'oeste | Cáceres | 2085 |
| Luciara | Confresa - Vila Rica | Barra do Garças | 2067 |
| Nova Brasilândia | Cuiabá | Cuiabá | 2058 |
| Nova Canaã do Norte | Sinop | Sinop | 2241 |
| Ponte Branca | Barra do Garças | Barra do Garças | 2091 |
| Poxoréu | Primavera do Leste | Rondonópolis | 2177 |
| Reserva do Cabaçal | Mirassol D'oeste | Cáceres | 2112 |
| Rondolândia | Juína | Sinop | 2453 |
| Rosário Oeste | Cuiabá | Cuiabá | 2324 |
| Terra Nova do Norte | Sinop | Sinop | 2065 |
| Tesouro | Rondonópolis | Rondonópolis | 2116 |
| Torixoréu | Barra do Garças | Barra do Garças | 2100 |
| Vale de São Domingos | Pontes e Lacerda - Comodoro | Cáceres | 2263 |